Greene County Bancorp Stock Performance
| GCBC Stock | USD 24.36 0.32 1.33% |
Greene County has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.97, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Greene County returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Greene County is expected to follow. Greene County Bancorp right now retains a risk of 2.25%. Please check out Greene County total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to decide if Greene County will be following its current trending patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Greene County Bancorp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain fundamental drivers, Greene County may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.33 | Five Day Return 10.98 | Year To Date Return 11.95 | Ten Year Return 213.51 | All Time Return 1.9 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0176 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.4 | Dividend Date 2025-11-28 |
1 | Insider Buying Tejraj Hada Acquires Shares of Greene County Ban - GuruFocus | 11/06/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Hada Tejraj S of 366 shares of Greene County at 22.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/14/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by John Antalek of 1500 shares of Greene County at 22.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/18/2025 |
4 | Tejraj Hada Purchases 1,000 Shares of Greene County Bancorp Stock - MarketBeat | 11/25/2025 |
| Greene County dividend paid on 28th of November 2025 | 11/28/2025 |
5 | Greene County Bancorp Shares Pass Above Fifty Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat | 12/02/2025 |
6 | Greene County Bancorp, Inc. Recognized as a Top-Performing Bank in Piper Sandlers Class of 2025 Bank Thrift Small-Cap All Stars | 12/09/2025 |
7 | Acquisition by Hada Tejraj S of 1000 shares of Greene County at 24.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/18/2025 |
8 | Will Greene County Bancorp Inc. stock gain from strong economy - July 2025 Opening Moves Community Verified Trade Alerts - DonanmHaber | 12/19/2025 |
9 | Acquisition by Hada Tejraj S of 6612 shares of Greene County at 22.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
10 | Greene County Bancorp, Inc. Delivers Net Income of 10.3 Million for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2025, the Highest Quarterly Earnings in the Banks 137-Year Hi... | 01/21/2026 |
11 | Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers - Stock Traders Daily | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 190.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -210.2 M |
Greene County Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,235 in Greene County Bancorp on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 201.00 from holding Greene County Bancorp or generate 8.99% return on investment over 90 days. Greene County Bancorp is currently generating 0.1683% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.2531% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Greene, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Greene County Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Greene Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 24.36 | 90 days | 24.36 | nearly 4.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greene County to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.13 (This Greene County Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Greene Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Greene County Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Greene County
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greene County Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Greene County Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greene County is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greene County's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greene County Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greene County within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Greene County Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greene County for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greene County Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers - Stock Traders Daily |
Greene County Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greene Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greene County's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greene County's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 504.3 M |
Greene County Fundamentals Growth
Greene Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Greene County, and Greene County fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Greene Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0114 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.44 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.52 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 275.01 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 17.03 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 29.60 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.57 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.06 X | ||||
| Revenue | 132.94 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 77.44 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 35.73 M | ||||
| Net Income | 31.14 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 70.78 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 8.31 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 128.06 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 10.69 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 14.58 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 27.98 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.98 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 377.14 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.04 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 241.4 M | ||||
About Greene County Performance
By analyzing Greene County's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Greene County's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Greene County has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Greene County has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | 0.09 |
Things to note about Greene County Bancorp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Greene County for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Greene County Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers - Stock Traders Daily |
- Analyzing Greene County's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Greene County's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Greene County's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Greene County's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Greene County's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Greene County's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Greene County's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Greene Stock analysis
When running Greene County's price analysis, check to measure Greene County's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greene County is operating at the current time. Most of Greene County's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greene County's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greene County's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greene County to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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